7
Volatile Spark
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Joseph Ramos | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Churchill Downs | Danny Sheehy | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/10/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |