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6

Hf Just Reno

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 6 · OR 73

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 71 · 1f80y Fas 126 · below its mark24/04/2025 · OR 71 par24/04C5OR 71BHA71 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 71 · 1f130y Slo 126 · below its mark15/05/2025 · OR 71 parBHA72 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 72 · 1f180y Gd 126 · below its mark01/07/2025 · OR 72 par1/0772OR 72C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 73 · 1f110y Slo 126 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 73 parBHA69 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 69 · 1f180y 126 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 69 par15/0969OR 69C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 70 · 1f180y Slo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 70 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 68 · 1f130y Gd 126 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 68 par12/11C5OR 68C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 71 · 1f110y 128 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 73 · 1f110y Fas 128 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 73 par28/07C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Horseshoe IndianapolisRolando Pina?1st1st0
2026-07-07Horseshoe IndianapolisRolando Pina?3rd3rd0
2025-11-12Horseshoe IndianapolisLuis Diaz Luna?4th4th0
2025-10-08Horseshoe IndianapolisCristian Esqueda?8th7th+1
2025-09-15Horseshoe IndianapolisLeonardo RodriguezBHA694th6th−2
2025-07-16Horseshoe IndianapolisRolando Pina?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0416/0712/1128/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +8.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/202510th9/488%0%-0.88
15/05/20257th12/137%25%-0.12
01/07/20255th9/153%50%-0.03
16/07/20255th6/168%33%-0.35
15/09/20254th20/10%57%+0.57
08/10/20258th25/10%22%+0.22
12/11/20254th6/168%67%-0.02
07/07/20263rd6/168%78%+0.09
28/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07