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Keenies Final Gift

5yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 1 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength26%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA66 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 02/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 66 · 1f180y Fas 126 · below its mark02/07/2024 · OR 66 par2/0766OR 66C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 65 · 1f80y Fas 126 · below its mark03/09/2024 · OR 65 parBHA64 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 64 · 1f180y Fas 126 · below its mark18/09/2024 · OR 64 par18/0964OR 64C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 70 · 1f30y Fas 126 · below its mark24/10/2024 · OR 70 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 65 · 1f80y Slo 128 · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 65 par12/08C8OR 65C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 67 · 1f130y 128 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 67 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 1f110y 128 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 69 par3/11C5OR 69C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 72 · 1f110y Fas 128 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 72 · 1f180y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 72 par15/09C5OR 72projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Horseshoe IndianapolisMartin Munoz?5th4th+1
2026-04-22Horseshoe IndianapolisHugo Macias?5th5th0
2025-11-03Horseshoe IndianapolisFrancisco Quintero?3rd3rd0
2025-09-04Horseshoe IndianapolisAntonio Rodriguez?3rd3rd0
2025-08-12Horseshoe IndianapolisJose Ruiz?1st5th−3
2024-10-24Horseshoe IndianapolisFrancisco Quintero?4th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0724/103/1115/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 48/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20247th16/116%14%-0.02
03/09/20245th7/163%56%-0.08
18/09/20247th25/10%25%+0.25
24/10/20244th10/382%50%-0.32
12/08/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
04/09/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
03/11/20253rd9/153%78%+0.25
22/04/20265th5/174%43%-0.31
15/09/20265th12/137%0%-0.37