3
Perrys Secret Gold
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Rolando Pina | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Luis Diaz Luna | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Luis Diaz Luna | BHA68 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Rolando Pina | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Rolando Pina | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Rolando Pina | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 33/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/09/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |