5
Philomina
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 69
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Fernando Morin | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Giovani Vazquez Gomez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Giovani Vazquez Gomez | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Giovani Vazquez Gomez | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-05-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Giovani Vazquez Gomez | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 55/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |