Memory
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 97
Keeneland · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Churchill Downs | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Churchill Downs | Florent Geroux | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | Martin Garcia | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 23/09/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |