8
Liam's Law
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 81
Keeneland · Race 10 - Brown Advisory Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf - Grade 1 · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-05-24 | Belmont At The Big A | Flavien Prat | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 45/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +21.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |