Pikachu
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 106
Keeneland · Race 10 - Brown Advisory Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf - Grade 1 · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | D Egan | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | D Egan | 3 | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | D Egan | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | Rowan Scott | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Royal Ascot | D Egan | 1 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | D Egan | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 1/25 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |