Dee's Funny Girl

2yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 9 · OR 99

Keeneland · Race 3 - Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance Stakes · 1m

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼3

Strength100%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C1.3

Today:

Class gap: +3.2

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-02	Dundalk	O J Orr	1	3rd	-1th	+4	5.0
2026-08-23	Deauville	R L Moore	1	6th	1st	+4	8.9
2026-07-25	Ascot	R L Moore	1	2nd	-3th	+4	5.0
2026-06-19	Royal Ascot	Dylan Browne McMonagle	1	6th	1st	+4	8.7
2026-05-16	Thirsk	Jason Hart	4	1st	0th	+1	9.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 51/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -33.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/05/2026	1st	16/1	16%	100%	+0.84
19/06/2026	6th	80/1	0%	79%	+0.79
25/07/2026	2nd	9/1	53%	90%	+0.37
23/08/2026	6th	5/6	96%	0%	-0.96
02/10/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	78%	+0.04