7
Oscar Cheer
2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 7 · OR 97
Keeneland · Race 3 - Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Keeneland | Jose Ortiz | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | Luis Saez | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength73%
Delivery trend -19.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/10/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |