10
Campobasso
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 10 · OR 104
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Churchill Downs | Flavien Prat | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength85%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |