7
Cornwall Boss
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 98
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Delaware Park | Jose Batista | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Churchill Downs | Axel Concepcion | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Delaware Park | Julio Hernandez | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 61/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |