6
Global Aviator
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 89
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼2
Strength29%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Gulfstream | Joe Bravo | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-11-29 | Gulfstream | Joe Bravo | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -28.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |