1
High Camp
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 1 · OR 92
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | John Velazquez | BHA96 | 10th | 16th | −5 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | John Velazquez | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Gulfstream | John Velazquez | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -44.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/03/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |