Imagine John
3yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 8 · OR 89
Keeneland · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | Jose Morelos | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | Jose Morelos | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | Edgard Zayas | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | Adam Beschizza | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Keeneland | Adam Beschizza | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Keeneland | Jaime Torres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |