3

Bet On Silver

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 80

Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1194/06C6C6 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 86 · 6f Slo 119 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 86 par27/06C6OR 86C6 @ Ellis Park 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 88 par26/07C6OR 88C5 @ Kentucky Downs 09/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 90 par9/09C5OR 90projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kentucky DownsJoel Rosario?11th10th+1
2026-07-26Ellis ParkBen Curtis?1st2nd−1
2026-06-27Churchill DownsJoel Rosario?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-04Churchill DownsBen Curtis?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0627/0626/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength11%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20264th7/163%70%+0.07
27/06/20262nd13/266%83%+0.18
26/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
09/09/202611th20/10%9%+0.09