2

Kingside

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 105

Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Keeneland 02/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f 1192/10C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02KeenelandTyler Gaffalione?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20261st8/158%100%+0.42