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2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 92
Keeneland · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | Joel Rosario | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ellis Park | Abel Cedillo | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -35.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |