Final Objective
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 107
Keeneland · Race 6 - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | James Doyle | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | James Doyle | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Thirsk | James Doyle | 4 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | Callum Rodriguez | 2 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | Faleh Bugheniam | 1 | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | Faleh Bugheniam | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 79% | -0.11 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 1/6 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |