Force Noir
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 110
Keeneland · Race 6 - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Newmarket | D Egan | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | Ben Coen | BHA86 | 1st | 11th | −8 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | D Egan | 1 | 17th | 17th | −0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | D Egan | ? | 1st | 10th | −8 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | D Egan | ? | 2nd | 11th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +19.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 20/06/2026 | 17th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 18/09/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 26/09/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |