10

Harper's Corner

2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 10 · OR 102

Keeneland · Race 6 - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength14%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 12012/06C6C5 @ Saratoga 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 6f 122 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 91 par3/07C5OR 91C0 @ Saratoga 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 98 · 7f 122 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 98 par5/09C?OR 98C1 @ Belmont Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 98 · 6f Fm 122 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 98 par3/10C1OR 98projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Belmont ParkPaco Lopez?2nd3rd−0
2026-09-05SaratogaPaco Lopez?2nd2nd0
2026-07-03SaratogaPaco Lopez?1st6th−4
2026-06-12Laurel ParkPaco Lopez?1st8th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/063/075/093/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -11.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
03/07/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
05/09/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
03/10/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07