12
Primetime Emmy
3yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 12
Keeneland · Race 6 - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | M Barzalona | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | M Barzalona | 1 | 5th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | M Barzalona | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |