6
Velozee
2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 6 · OR 108
Keeneland · Race 6 - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint - Grade 1 · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | Billy Lee | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | Billy Lee | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | Billy Lee | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | Billy Lee | 1 | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Naas | Billy Lee | 1 | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | Billy Lee | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 36/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |