12
Life Changing
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 12 · OR 66
Keeneland · Race 7 - Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Delaware Park | Samuel Marin | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Saratoga | Flavien Prat | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | Luis Saez | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 39/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 03/10/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |