3
Curracloe
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3
Keeneland · Race 8 - John Deere Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf - Grade 1 · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Curragh | Ben Coen | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | Ben Coen | ? | 1st | 10th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 14-14 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -91.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/09/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |