Green Empress
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 103
Keeneland · Race 8 - John Deere Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf - Grade 1 · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 1.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | C Soumillon | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | Colin Keane | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | J M Sheridan | ? | 2nd | 11th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -18.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 04/10/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |