15
Silent Beauty
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 15 · OR 97
Keeneland · Race 8 - John Deere Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf - Grade 1 · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength15%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Ayr | D Egan | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Ripon | D Egan | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | D Egan | 1 | 23th | 24th | −0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | D Egan | 4 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 62/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength5%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/06/2026 | 23rd | 11/1 | 42% | 8% | -0.34 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |