9
Sun Goddess
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 119
Keeneland · Race 8 - John Deere Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf - Grade 1 · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Newmarket | R L Moore | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | R L Moore | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | R L Moore | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | R L Moore | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | R L Moore | 1 | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | R L Moore | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 86/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 96% | +0.01 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 26/09/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |