1
Damavand
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 88
Keeneland · Race 9 - FanDuel Breeders' Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance - Grade 1 · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Keeneland | John Velazquez | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | John Velazquez | ? | 4th | 11th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +20.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 04/10/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |