Ballykeefe
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 75
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Laurel Park | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Penn National | David Cora | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | Jean Briceno | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Penn National | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |