Bint Mischief
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 13 · OR 72
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Delaware Park | Julio Hernandez | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | Paco Lopez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | Jareth Loveberry | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | Sheldon Russell | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 70% | -0.19 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 64% | -0.28 |
| 30/09/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |