Sin Boldly
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-25 | Laurel Park | Jevian Toledo | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | Tais Lyapustina | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | Tais Lyapustina | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | Tais Lyapustina | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | Tais Lyapustina | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -14.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 15/10/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |