1

Yammy Yammy Bella

5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 73

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m39y 122 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 61 par4/04C9OR 61C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 68 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 24/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 64 par24/04C9OR 64C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 64 parC9 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 73 par16/07C9OR 73C8 @ Colonial Downs 15/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m110y Fm 125 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 75 par28/08C8OR 75C8 @ Laurel Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Laurel Park 09/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 76 · 5f110y Gd 122 · below its mark09/10/2026 · OR 76 par9/10C8OR 76projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09Laurel ParkTaylor Kingsley?4th4th0
2026-09-19Laurel ParkTaylor Kingsley?3rd3rd0
2026-08-28Colonial DownsTaylor Kingsley?6th6th0
2026-08-15Colonial DownsEmmanuel Esquivel?11th11th0
2026-07-16Colonial DownsTaylor Kingsley?1st2nd−1
2026-05-02Tampa Bay DownsSkyler Spanabel?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/042/0528/089/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +10.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/20268th13/266%0%-0.66
12/04/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16
24/04/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
02/05/20263rd6/492%78%-0.14
16/07/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
15/08/202611th16/116%9%-0.07
28/08/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
19/09/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
09/10/20264th10/147%67%+0.19