Likebelivingnmagic
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 5 · OR 83
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Charles Town | Rayan Wilson | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Laurel Park | Jorge Hernandez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | Jasmine McGuin | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | Dick Cardenas | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | Brittany Scampton | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | Christian Maldonado | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 30/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/10/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/10/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |