My Mamba
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Delaware Park | Sebastian Orellana | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | Noel Herman | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Monmouth Park | Dalila Rivera | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Monmouth Park | Dalila Rivera | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | Dalila Rivera | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | Kendry Rivera | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/10/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |