Norfie
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 9 · OR 91
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Delaware Park | Sara Hess | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Laurel Park | Ronaldo Rodriguez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | Deshawn Parker | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | Emanuel Rosario | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | Cesar Gonzalez | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 04/10/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 16/10/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |