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3

Paralegal

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 75

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 09/02/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 84 · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 84 par9/02C6OR 84C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 88 · 7f Fas 118 · below its mark21/02/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Laurel Park 23/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 65 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 65 par23/01C8OR 65C7 @ Laurel Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 61 · 6f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 61 parC8 @ Laurel Park 22/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 63 · 6f 126 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 63 par22/03C8OR 63C8 @ Penn National 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Delaware Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark20/05/2026 · OR 69 par20/05C8OR 69C8 @ Delaware Park 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 70 · 6f 123 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Delaware Park 07/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 76 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark07/10/2026 · OR 76 par7/10C8OR 76projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-07Delaware ParkPaco Lopez?1st1st0
2026-06-18Delaware ParkPaco Lopez?1st1st0
2026-05-20Delaware ParkPaco Lopez?3rd3rd0
2026-04-03Penn NationalJulio Hernandez?3rd3rd0
2026-03-22Laurel ParkJulio Hernandez?9th9th0
2026-02-28Laurel ParkMartin Chuan?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0228/0220/057/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength63%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20259th20/10%20%+0.20
21/02/202510th12/137%0%-0.37
23/01/20262nd15/261%86%+0.25
28/02/20264th12/137%50%+0.13
22/03/20269th6/168%0%-0.68
03/04/20263rd6/594%60%-0.34
20/05/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15
18/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
07/10/20261st5/287%100%+0.13