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6

Prom Knight

5yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 6 · OR 89

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Delaware Park 13/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 56 par13/05C7OR 56C8 @ Delaware Park 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 63 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 63 parC8 @ Delaware Park 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 68 par27/05C8OR 68C8 @ Delaware Park 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m 124 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Delaware Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 70 par4/07C8OR 70C8 @ Delaware Park 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 68 · 6f 122 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 66 · 6f Slo 125 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 66 par8/08C8OR 66C7 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 69 parC8 @ Delaware Park 01/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f 125 · below its mark01/10/2026 · OR 71 par1/10C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-01Delaware ParkAngel Cruz?6th6th0
2026-09-11Delaware ParkAjhari Williams?6th5th+1
2026-08-08Delaware ParkEddie Dominguez?8th8th0
2026-07-30Delaware ParkAngel Cruz?1st1st0
2026-07-04Delaware ParkMatilda Burnham?7th7th0
2026-06-18Delaware ParkMatilda Burnham?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0518/068/081/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength70%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
21/05/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
27/05/20264th10/147%40%-0.07
18/06/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
04/07/20267th16/116%33%+0.18
30/07/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
08/08/20268th9/153%0%-0.53
11/09/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
01/10/20266th9/153%29%-0.24