Sheriff Ronnie
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 94
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Laurel Park | Julio Hernandez | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Laurel Park | J G Torrealba | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Laurel Park | Martin Chuan | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Laurel Park | Martin Chuan | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Laurel Park | Martin Chuan | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-27 | Laurel Park | Yedsit Hazlewood | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 63% | -0.29 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 27/02/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 15/10/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 67% | -0.23 |