8
Silverbullettwenty
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 72
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Laurel Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Laurel Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | Yomar Ortiz | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | Yomar Ortiz | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | Yomar Ortiz | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | Yomar Ortiz | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/04/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 19/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/1 | 21% | 67% | +0.46 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/10/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |