Spotted Bull
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | Jose Vargas | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | Yedsit Hazlewood | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | Jose Vargas | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | Matilda Burnham | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Laurel Park | Yedsit Hazlewood | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |