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2yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 51

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength72%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 01/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS1/05C6C6 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 69 par12/06C6OR 69C9 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f 120 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 54 par21/07C9OR 54projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Delaware ParkJoseph Rocco Jr?6th6th0
2026-06-12Laurel ParkJoseph Rocco Jr?7th4th+3
2026-05-01Laurel ParkJevian Toledo?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0512/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20263rd13/891%50%-0.41
12/06/20267th25/10%0%0.00
21/07/20266th5/174%17%-0.57