1
Happy Encounter
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 48
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Delaware Park | Jorge Vargas Jr | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | Laurel Park | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-23 | Delaware Park | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | Wilfredo Corujo | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -25.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 04/10/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 16/10/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |