2
Her Decision
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 39
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Laurel Park | Paco Lopez | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | Ismerio Villalobos | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 3-4 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -16.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 02/10/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 18/10/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |