Paris By Night
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 55
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
1/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Laurel Park | Jeiron Barbosa | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | Xavier Perez | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | Xavier Perez | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | Xavier Perez | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +14.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 04/10/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |