3
Americandreammaker
5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Laurel Park | Taylor Kingsley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | Martin Chuan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | Sonny Leon | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | Sonny Leon | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | Sonny Leon | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 77/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |