Chitchatchitchat
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 80
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | Angel Cruz | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | Manuel Franco | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | Jorge Ruiz | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 05/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 13/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 14% | -0.78 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 17% | -0.70 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |