Conquest Dancer
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 12 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | Raul Mena | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Laurel Park | Raul Mena | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Laurel Park | Raul Mena | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Laurel Park | Raul Mena | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Delaware Park | Raul Mena | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Delaware Park | Raul Mena | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/06/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |