9

Quadra

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 86

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 20/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 91 · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 91 par20/02C6OR 91C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark18/03/2026 · OR 85 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 88 par19/04C7OR 88C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 1m 123 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 90 par9/06C7OR 90C5 @ Colonial Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 90 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 92 par11/07C5OR 92C0 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m110y Yie 122C5 @ Meadowlands 03/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 88 · 5f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 88 par3/10C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03MeadowlandsAbner Adorno?3rd1st+2
2026-09-05Colonial DownsMychel Sanchez?6th6th0
2026-07-11Colonial DownsMychel Sanchez?5th3rd+2
2026-06-27Colonial DownsAntonio Gallardo?3rd1st+2
2026-06-09Presque Isle DownsIsrael Rodriguez?5th5th0
2026-04-29Tampa Bay DownsIsrael Rodriguez?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0229/0411/073/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
18/03/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
19/04/20267th16/116%14%-0.02
29/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
09/06/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
27/06/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
11/07/20265th9/276%0%-0.76
05/09/20266th7/163%29%-0.35
03/10/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12