8
Skittliedat
5yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 69
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Laurel Park | Leandro Briceno | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Laurel Park | Warren Iii Ebow | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | Xavier Perez | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | Luis Fuenmayor | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | Luis Fuenmayor | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | Sara Hess | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength15%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 17/10/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |